Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.604751 0.686867 0.774595 0.875128 0.986980 1.107436 1.246798
2025-08-24 0.484227 0.599961 0.733023 0.896605 1.091527 1.315551 1.591657
2025-08-31 0.386143 0.519409 0.683511 0.898690 1.171440 1.503505 1.935971
2025-09-07 0.320668 0.465691 0.655941 0.920444 1.274737 1.728496 2.348394
2025-09-14 0.260967 0.408051 0.613026 0.914118 1.338561 1.907905 2.719995
2025-09-21 0.220424 0.369227 0.588491 0.927106 1.426842 2.125236 3.159790
2025-09-28 0.181803 0.325867 0.549999 0.913187 1.473022 2.286078 3.533539
2025-10-05 0.162160 0.308654 0.547715 0.951624 1.597921 2.567723 4.100351
2025-10-12 0.145348 0.292961 0.544978 0.987738 1.721115 2.855060 4.695984
2025-10-19 0.126555 0.270249 0.526911 0.995605 1.798675 3.077049 5.207032
2025-10-26 0.110106 0.248800 0.507631 0.998167 1.866177 3.286395 5.710986
2025-11-02 0.095874 0.228992 0.488243 0.997462 1.926661 3.487043 6.212581
2025-11-09 0.083588 0.211172 0.470511 0.998328 1.991068 3.701062 6.755074
2025-11-16 0.073573 0.196349 0.456484 1.004290 2.064741 3.935752 7.347828
2025-11-23 0.063627 0.179676 0.436210 0.995408 2.109669 4.123222 7.872003
2025-11-30 0.057179 0.170029 0.429264 1.012152 2.203934 4.403675 8.574375
2025-12-07 0.049536 0.155761 0.410038 1.000926 2.242323 4.585030 9.111890
2025-12-14 0.044415 0.147001 0.401947 1.012261 2.326033 4.854739 9.823803
2025-12-21 0.038318 0.134156 0.382257 0.995545 2.350554 5.014016 10.341911
2025-12-28 0.036007 0.131753 0.387611 1.035931 2.497235 5.416030 11.334151
2026-01-04 0.033766 0.129081 0.391886 1.074147 2.642127 5.822976 12.357110
2026-01-11 0.030391 0.122072 0.383889 1.082182 2.721900 6.105634 13.156755
2026-01-18 0.027182 0.114820 0.374122 1.084666 2.789272 6.366982 13.928363